Hi Robbie,
Robert Brown here.
the Administrators have let me in, so perhaps I can offer some insight.
At each State election, there are 21 Legislative Council ( Upper House) seats up for grabs.
This time around, the continuing members are;
Labor 10; L/NP 7; Greens 2,
CDP 1, TSP 1 ( me).
At the close of counting yesterday, and if the percentages stay fairly stable, then I predict the following...
Labor 9 ( +10 = 19)
L/NP 8 ( +7 = 15)
Green 2 ( +2 = 4)
Christian DP 1 ( + 1= 2)
TSP 1 ( +1 =2)
The Labor Party, being in Government will most likely have a Labor person appointed as President of the Legislative Council (called The Speaker in the Lower House).
That will bring the votes on the floor of the LC to 18 vs 15, with 4x Greens (the Darksiders) vs. four of "us".
The only dark cloud on this is either Labor or L/NP not getting 19 or 15 respectively, which will probably mean the last seat going to the Australian Democrats ( Arthur Chesterfield-Evans). He has ALWAYS voted with the Greens.
If both majors fall short, then the AAFI candidate ( of whom I know nothing) may get elected.
A factor in all of these guesses ( and that's all they are) is the number/% of preferences cast by the voters on their ballot sheets.
In 2003, it was only 67,000 or 1.7%. So 98%+ of voters simply voted above the line and then got out of the booth as quickly as possible.
Because both Labor and the Liberal Party seem a tad unpopular, then this trend may increase.
I've seen a lot of "heat" on this forum and others about TSP supporting fishermen. If you guys want to look at where I stand, go and have a look at Hansard (by Member), and read my maiden speech (June 2006 I think).
I guess most of you ( like most shooters, 4WDers, etc.) aren't really interested in politics for 3.75 out of every four years, so it will be interesting to see where all of this leads in the early months of 2011.
I guess also that my track record will just have to stand on its own at that time.
In the mean time, and irrespective of how the balance in the Upper House pans out, I will try to protect your "common" interests.
Thanks for letting me contribute, this is a very professional site.
Robert Brown.